IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.3	#135
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.1	#332
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.1	#171

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.3	#101

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.3%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.9%	12.7%	6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	2.5%	2.9%	0.6%
Average Seed	12.2	12.1	13.4

.500 or above	53.2%	57.1%	29.0%
.500 or above in Conference	65.6%	68.1%	50.2%
Conference Champion	11.1%	12.1%	5.2%
Last Place in Conference	5.2%	4.6%	9.0%

First Four	1.5%	1.7%	0.8%
First Round	11.1%	11.8%	6.6%
Second Round	2.5%	2.8%	1.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.8%	0.9%	0.3%
Elite Eight	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Home) - 86.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.2 - 3.3	0.2 - 3.3
Quad 1b	0.5 - 1.9	0.7 - 5.1
Quad 2	1.8 - 3.3	2.5 - 8.4
Quad 3	4.9 - 3.6	7.3 - 12.0
Quad 4	6.4 - 1.3	13.8 - 13.2

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2018	280	Drexel	W	73-64	86%
Nov 14, 2018	4	@ Duke	L	63-79	4%
Nov 17, 2018	223	Boston University	W	69-63	80%
Nov 19, 2018	140	@ Rutgers	W	63-62	40%
Nov 24, 2018	336	Detroit Mercy	W	80-65	93%
Nov 26, 2018	28	@ TCU	L	65-75	13%
Dec 01, 2018	70	@ Northeastern	L	64-69	22%
Dec 19, 2018	90	UC Irvine	L	63-66	49%
Dec 29, 2018	1	@ Kansas	L	60-78	4%
Jan 04, 2019	65	Buffalo	L	70-76	41%
Jan 08, 2019	111	@ Ball St.	L	68-69	35%
Jan 12, 2019	159	Kent St.	W	69-67	67%
Jan 15, 2019	184	@ Akron	W	68-65	51%
Jan 18, 2019	65	@ Buffalo	L	70-76	21%
Jan 22, 2019	205	Bowling Green	W	72-67	75%
Jan 26, 2019	211	@ Western Michigan	W	70-65	57%
Jan 29, 2019	219	@ Central Michigan	W	71-65	59%
Feb 02, 2019	170	Miami (OH)	W	66-63	68%
Feb 09, 2019	186	Northern Illinois	W	68-65	70%
Feb 12, 2019	142	@ Ohio	W	70-69	42%
Feb 16, 2019	159	@ Kent St.	W	69-67	46%
Feb 19, 2019	126	Toledo	L	69-70	58%
Feb 23, 2019	211	Western Michigan	W	70-65	74%
Feb 26, 2019	219	Central Michigan	W	71-65	76%
Mar 02, 2019	186	@ Northern Illinois	W	68-65	50%
Mar 05, 2019	111	Ball St.	L	68-69	55%
Mar 08, 2019	126	@ Toledo	L	69-70	39%
Projected Record						13.8 - 13.2	9.8 - 8.2

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.4	1.4	3.1	3.2	2.0	0.8	0.2		11.1	1st
2nd											0.1	0.7	2.8	4.2	3.2	1.0	0.1				12.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.9	3.3	4.7	2.3	0.4	0.0					11.8	3rd
4th									0.1	0.5	3.4	4.9	1.9	0.2	0.0						11.1	4th
5th								0.0	0.4	2.9	4.7	1.9	0.2	0.0							10.2	5th
6th								0.3	2.2	4.6	2.1	0.1									9.3	6th
7th							0.2	1.6	4.2	2.3	0.2	0.0									8.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.0	3.5	2.6	0.4											7.5	8th
9th					0.0	0.8	2.4	2.7	0.6	0.0											6.5	9th
10th				0.1	0.6	1.8	1.9	0.4	0.0												4.8	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.7	1.5	1.2	0.4	0.0													4.0	11th
12th	0.0	0.3	0.7	0.9	0.7	0.3	0.0														3.0	12th

Total	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.7	2.9	4.1	5.8	8.5	10.1	10.8	11.4	11.1	10.1	8.1	6.7	4.3	2.1	0.8	0.2			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	0.8		0.8	0.0
16-2	93.4%	2.0		1.7	0.3	0.0
15-3	75.0%	3.2		2.3	0.8	0.1	0.0
14-4	45.9%	3.1		1.6	1.1	0.3	0.0
13-5	16.7%	1.4		0.3	0.7	0.3	0.1		0.0
12-6	4.1%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	11.1%	11.1		7.0	3.1	0.9	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		92.3%	57.8%	34.5%	5.4		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		81.8%
17-1	0.8%		80.7%	42.0%	38.7%	9.0				0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1				0.2		66.7%
16-2	2.1%		69.5%	38.8%	30.8%	10.2			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0			0.6		50.2%
15-3	4.3%		49.8%	35.2%	14.6%	11.5					0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0		2.2		22.5%
14-4	6.7%		29.7%	22.8%	6.8%	12.0								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.1		4.7		8.9%
13-5	8.1%		19.3%	17.6%	1.7%	12.7									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	6.6		2.0%
12-6	10.1%		11.6%	11.5%	0.0%	13.6											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.1	8.9		0.0%
11-7	11.1%		10.7%	10.5%	0.1%	13.9													0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	9.9		0.1%
10-8	11.4%		4.8%	4.8%	0.0%	14.6													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	10.9		0.0%
9-9	10.8%		4.6%	4.6%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	10.3
8-10	10.1%		2.5%	2.5%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	9.9
7-11	8.5%		1.0%	1.0%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	8.4
6-12	5.8%		1.5%	1.5%		15.8																0.0	0.1	5.7
5-13	4.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																0.0	0.0	4.1
4-14	2.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.9
3-15	1.7%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	1.7
2-16	0.8%																							0.8
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		11.9%	9.6%	2.3%	12.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.6	1.9	2.5	2.2	1.6	1.1	0.7	88.1		2.5%